The Changing Contours of the Global Currency Reserve System
What is a Reserve Currency ?
The term reserve currency means that it is the currency that is used by the countries of the world to trade with each other. For instance, if India or China have to trade with Saudi Arabia for oil, then they use the US Dollar as the reserve currency. Further, if the countries in Europe have to trade with Malaysia or Australia, they too have to use the USD as the reserve currency. In other words, a currency that is used by all countries of the world to trade with each other is known as a global reserve currency. As we shall discuss later, there are many advantages for a country to have its currency as the global reserve currency. For the moment, it would be useful to consider the fact that all countries in the global trading system have to hold reserves of the reserve currency if they are to continue trading with other countries in the world. This means that this reserve currency or “hard currency” becomes the currency of choice for all countries of the world.
The US Dollar’s Exorbitant Privilege
As the USD is the global reserve currency, it enjoys exorbitant privilege in this status. This means that the US can print as much money as possible and still maintain its superior position since the world uses the USD as the reserve currency, which translates into the fact that the world cannot do without the USD. This confers advantages on the USD and by extension, the US as it can run huge trade deficits and at the same time not worry about whether it would run out of reserves like the other countries. As it has the USD under its control, it need not worry about depleting currency reserves as it can print as many dollars as possible. Indeed, as the reasons for the global economic crisis have been analyzed, it became clear that the US was being profligate and careless in its consumption and standard of living patterns that were conferred to it by the USD being the reserve currency. This unparalleled and hegemonic position meant that even now the US cares little about the effect of its printing money or Quantitative Easing policies on the world.
The Threat from the Chinese Yuan
However, it appears that things are changing with the Chinese Yuan being increasingly used in bilateral trade. In recent months, several countries of the world have agreed to trade in Yuan with each other leading to a dent in the status of the USD as the reserve currency. This means the Chinese are announcing their arrival on the world stage with the Yuan and its use gaining traction. The implications of this trend are worrisome for the US, good for the world as the former needs to seriously rethink its consumption-based model, and the latter can instead hold Yuan rather than USD. Once a country like India runs huge trade deficits, it becomes impossible for it to finance it at each turn meaning that it has either to buy dollars or increase exports. On the other hand, if the Yuan were made the reserve currency, countries in Asia would find it easier to trade as they have good trading relationships with China. This is the real significance of the recent moves to have Yuan as the reserve currency, which translates into waning American influence and increasing Chinese assertiveness.
Concluding Remarks
Further, the countries of the world need not subsidize the American consumer meaning that overconsumption would lessen and the rest of the world would not need to bear the environmental and social costs of this consumerism. In conclusion, while it is early days in the global currency games, it is fair to say that the future would certainly depend on Asian countries gaining traction and the US having to live with the new realities.
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