Currency Wars: “Beggar Thy Neighbor” Policy
February 12, 2025
The stock market tends to run in cycles. For a couple of years, the market maintains a bullish stance. Then some catalyst incident happens, and it seems like the market has suddenly taken a plunge. However, this is usually not the case in reality. Markets neither rise nor fall overnight. The catalyst incident merely sparks […]
Estimating the value of equity stock of a company is not an easy proposition. This is because while estimating the stock price, all the data required to be used in the formula is not easily available. This is because the data is subjective. It is really the analysts call on what they believe about the […]
Infrastructure projects last for many years. As a result, different sources of funding are used at different points of time in the project. As mentioned in the previous articles, most of the time, bank loans are used during the construction phase of the project. However, at the same time, bonds are the preferred source of […]
The past decade has seen a rapid increase in the number of start-ups. There are more companies which start up every year now as compared to a decade earlier! As a result, there are numerous new kinds of players which have come into existence in the start-up universe. One such type of company is called […]
The Difference between Retail, Corporate, and Investment Banking Most of us when dealing with banks usually walk into the branch and get our work done we usually do not bother whether it is retail banking branch or a corporate banking branch. The difference between retail and corporate banking is that retail banking serves individuals and […]
The Mexican peso crisis, which is also known as the tequila crisis was one of the first major currency crisis in the South American continent. The Mexican peso almost collapsed as a result of this crisis. The government was close to default on its national debt. The level of foreign reserves was dwindling to dangerously low levels and in the end the Mexican government required a bailout to stay afloat financially. Also, foreign investors that had invested in Mexican bonds ended up losing 15% of the value of their investments in a single day and over 40% of the value in the long term. These rates are catastrophic considering that bonds are fixed income investments and losing money on bonds is considered to be a very distant possibility.
Ideally, a government can swap the pesos for dollars on the market and pay off their debt. However, the Mexican government was maintaining a currency rate peg with the United States. This meant that the Mexican Central Bank would conduct foreign market operations to keep the value of their debt stable as compared to the United States. Hence, they needed dollar reserves to conduct these operations and therefore did not have the dollars to pay up on their loans.
A currency peg can be dangerous if there is runaway inflation in any country. This was the case with Mexico where the government was creating credit in huge quantities driving inflation through the roof. If the peso were a freely floating currency, it would have undergone a serious devaluation. However, since the peso was pegged, its value remained stable to the dollar. Hence it was extremely overvalued which could have been observed by the rising imports and the dwindling exports.
Therefore, the American government somehow managed a $51 billion bailout for easing the situation in Mexico. In return, Mexico had to pledge their oil reserves as collateral. Also, Mexico was bound by investors to follow stringent monetary and credit expansion policies till their debt was paid off.
The Mexican debt crisis is therefore a case in point of what can go wrong when countries try to maintain artificially high Forex rates with the help of open market operations of their Central Banks.
Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *