Currency Wars and the Making of the Next Financial Crisis in the Global Economy
February 12, 2025
We discussed the definition of inflation in a lot of detail in the previous article. The previous article was meant to bring to the readers notice that the current definition of inflation is flawed. Instead a previously used definition was capable of defining the concept in a much better manner. This brings up the question, […]
In the previous many articles, we have been discussing a lot about the various concepts of inflation. We have understood in great detail, the way things are. However, when it comes to inflation, the ideal way that things must be is also extremely important. The only way to reach an amicable solution is to have […]
The average person believes that Quantitative Easing (QE) is a policy being implemented in developed nations like the United States, Europe, United Kingdom and Japan. They believe that the average person sitting in developing economies where Quantitative Easing (QE) is not being implemented has very little to gain or lose from this policy. However, this […]
John Maynard Keynes once said that saving money is an individual virtue but a societal vice. This has been the stance of mainstream economics for a very long time. The underlying belief is that demand stimulates all economic activity. Hence, when there is more demand, there is more economic activity. Thus, an economy grows by […]
History Lehman Brothers started as a grocery store in Alabama in 1844. Over the years Lehman Brothers grew into a global behemoth. This growth continued till 2008. Lehman Brothers was the fifth largest investment bank in the world and had over 25,000 people directly on its payroll as well as several thousand people indirectly dependent […]
The issue of immigration has been in the news lately for all the wrong reasons. Starting with the Brexit Referendum and continuing with the election of President Trump and including the rise of populism and far right nationalism in Europe, Immigration and Immigrants are being viewed negatively.
Indeed, the prevailing atmosphere against Immigration has become so vitiated that potential immigrants from Asia and Africa as well as Latin America are thinking twice before rushing to the United States and Europe in the manner that they used to do earlier.
However, it is not necessarily the case that Immigration and Immigrants are bad for the host country since there is a strong business case to be made for the same.
Indeed, the fact that the Western Economies are in the midst of stagnant population growth means that immigrants can be a source of labor for those countries where the population of the natives is dwindling.
On the other hand, this is precisely the reason why many Nationalists and Populists on the Right want to discourage immigration since they feel that their countries would be taken over by hordes of immigrants who would not only deny jobs to the locals but would also cause severe social problems to do with integration and assimilation.
Having said that, as mentioned earlier, there is a strong business case to be made for immigration.
To start with, immigrants contribute to the economies of the host countries by providing labor that is not only cheap but also abundant.
Considering the fact that immigrants often work for lower wages than native workers, businesses tend to gain and profit from immigration. In addition, immigrants can help fill crucial positions in occupations that do not have much demand from the native workers.
For instance, sectors such as construction and manufacturing have many low paid positions that can be filled by immigrants. Indeed, the fact that native workers usually balk at working in menial and low paid jobs means that immigrants who are ready to work in these sectors can help the economy.
To take examples, all the Gulf Countries have benefited from Asian workers who were immigrants and who literally as well as figuratively helped build the mansions and offices of the natives with their sweat and labor.
This is also the case in Europe where there is a shortage of workers prepared to drive taxis or be plumbers and electricians and where Eastern European immigrants can be found in large numbers.
While cheap and abundant labor is one reason why there is a strong business case for immigration, there is also a compelling reason at the higher end of the skills spectrum. To explain, the United States has benefited immensely from highly skilled Doctors and Engineers as well as Scientists from Asia (especially China and India) wherein the Tech and the Life Sciences as well as the Engineering field have all benefited from the influx of such highly skilled immigrants.
Indeed, the reason why the United States encouraged massive immigration in the 1990s is mainly because the Tech companies such as Microsoft often found that American universities were finding it hard to churn out as many Engineers and Programmers as the Tech Industry wanted.
Thus, the solution was to encourage immigration from regions worldwide where there was a surplus of such workers. The fact that most Silicon Valley firms now have Chinese and Indians in senior and leadership positions is indicative of the fact that there is a strong economic case for immigration despite the nationalists and the populists claiming otherwise.
After considering these aspects, it is indeed the case that the West must first have a debate over immigration in a rational and cool manner wherein the economic and the social costs are calculated and weighed against the benefits.
While it would be prudent to limit immigration in some sectors such as Manufacturing where the natives are at risk of losing their jobs, it is also the case that there must be a blanket ban on immigration.
As mentioned earlier, in countries where there are not enough workers, it makes sense to let immigrants do the job instead of losing competitiveness due to wrongheaded policies. In addition, in sectors or occupations where immigrants have the skills and the expertise better than the natives, it also makes sense to let the former do the jobs.
After all, the United States is what it is and where it is due to immigrants who arrived there initially as well as throughout the centuries to seek their fortunes there. While the case of Europe is different, it is a fact that Germany has been encouraging immigration partly from humanitarian impulses and more so due to the declining numbers of ethnic workers in some occupations.
On balance, it would seem there is a strong economic aspect of immigration that can help the host countries more than it harms them. Therefore, it is the need of the hour for the business sector to take a stronger stand against the growing chorus for keeping out immigrants and immigration.
In the same manner in which Tech leaders such as Bill Gates lobbied the government in the 1990s, the present Captains of Industry too must rise to the occasion and call for a meaningful assessment of the costs as well as the benefits of immigration.
To conclude, blanket bans on immigration do not serve anybodys purpose and would only cause economic pain.
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