Currency Wars and the Making of the Next Financial Crisis in the Global Economy
April 3, 2025
The Recent Currency Wars The recent drop in the value of several emerging market currencies coupled with the fact that the BOJ (Bank of Japan) has embarked on extreme monetary stimulus and the US Federal Reserve’s unlimited bond buying spree have rekindled fears of a currency war among the currencies of the world. Added to…
What is Capital Account Convertibility ? Capital Account Convertibility means that the currency of a country can be converted into foreign exchange without any controls or restrictions. In other words, Indians can convert their Rupees into Dollars or Euros and Vice Versa without any restrictions placed on them. The reason why it is called capital…
The global financial system is in the middle of a manufactured boom. Earlier, the economies would boom on their own based on the underlying fundamentals. However, in the present scenario, the boom is 100% manufactured by central bankers that are using every trick in the book and some more to create the perception that the…
Economic principles assist in rational reasoning and defined thinking. They develop logical ability and strength of a manager.
Some important principles of managerial economics are:
This principle states that a decision is said to be rational and sound if given the firm’s objective of profit maximization, it leads to increase in profit, which is in either of two scenarios-
Marginal analysis implies judging the impact of a unit change in one variable on the other.
Marginal generally refers to small changes.
Marginal revenue is change in total revenue per unit change in output sold.
Marginal cost refers to change in total costs per unit change in output produced (While incremental cost refers to change in total costs due to change in total output).
The decision of a firm to change the price would depend upon the resulting impact/change in marginal revenue and marginal cost. If the marginal revenue is greater than the marginal cost, then the firm should bring about the change in price.
Incremental analysis differs from marginal analysis only in that it analysis the change in the firm's performance for a given managerial decision, whereas marginal analysis often is generated by a change in outputs or inputs.
Incremental analysis is generalization of marginal concept. It refers to changes in cost and revenue due to a policy change. For example - adding a new business, buying new inputs, processing products, etc.
Change in output due to change in process, product or investment is considered as incremental change.
Incremental principle states that a decision is profitable if revenue increases more than costs; if costs reduce more than revenues; if increase in some revenues is more than decrease in others; and if decrease in some costs is greater than increase in others.
Marginal Utility is the utility derived from the additional unit of a commodity consumed. The laws of equi-marginal utility states that a consumer will reach the stage of equilibrium when the marginal utilities of various commodities he consumes are equal.
According to the modern economists, this law has been formulated in form of law of proportional marginal utility. It states that the consumer will spend his money-income on different goods in such a way that the marginal utility of each good is proportional to its price, i.e.,
MUx/Px = MUy/Py = MUz/Pz
Where, MU represents marginal utility and P is the price of good.
Similarly, a producer who wants to maximize profit (or reach equilibrium) will use the technique of production which satisfies the following condition:
MRP1/MC1 = MRP2/MC2 = MRP3/MC3
Where, MRP is marginal revenue product of inputs and MC represents marginal cost.
Thus, a manger can make rational decision by allocating/hiring resources in a manner which equalizes the ratio of marginal returns and marginal costs of various use of resources in a specific use.
By opportunity cost of a decision is meant the sacrifice of alternatives required by that decision. If there are no sacrifices, there is no cost.
According to Opportunity cost principle, a firm can hire a factor of production if and only if that factor earns a reward in that occupation/job equal or greater than it’s opportunity cost.
Opportunity cost is the minimum price that would be necessary to retain a factor-service in it’s given use. It is also defined as the cost of sacrificed alternatives.
For instance, a person chooses to forgo his present lucrative job which offers him INR 50,000 per month, and organizes his own business. The opportunity lost (earning INR 50,000) will be the opportunity cost of running his own business.
According to this principle, a manger/decision maker should give due emphasis, both to short-term and long-term impact of his decisions, giving apt significance to the different time periods before reaching any decision.
Short-run refers to a time period in which some factors are fixed while others are variable. The production can be increased by increasing the quantity of variable factors. While long-run is a time period in which all factors of production can become variable. Entry and exit of seller firms can take place easily.
From consumers point of view, short-run refers to a period in which they respond to the changes in price, given the taste and preferences of the consumers, while long-run is a time period in which the consumers have enough time to respond to price changes by varying their tastes and preferences.
According to this principle, if a decision affects costs and revenues in long-run, all those costs and revenues must be discounted to present values before valid comparison of alternatives is possible. This is essential because a rupee worth of money at a future date is not worth a rupee today.
Money actually has time value. Discounting can be defined as a process used to transform future dollars into an equivalent number of present dollars. For instance, $1 invested today at 10% interest is equivalent to $1.10 next year.
FV = PV*(1+r)t
Where, FV is the future value (time at some future time), PV is the present value (value at t0, r is the discount (interest) rate, and t is the time between the future value and present value.
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