Types of Hedge Funds
Hedge funds are simply funds with high leverage and no regulation. They have come into existence in the past couple of decades or so. However, a lot of fund managers have used different strategies and different asset classes. The result is a proliferation of the types of hedge funds. The modern investor therefore has a […]
The Apple-Qualcomm Legal Battle
Apple Inc. is the largest and the most profitable company in the entire world. However, of late, it has also found itself in the middle of several lawsuits. The company has been facing a legal battle with Spotify of late. However, none of the legal battles even come close to the legal drama that is […]
3 Modern Financial Management Techniques that Will Change Your Business
Whether you’re a business or an individual, you have to find a way to manage your finances now and in the future. The cost of everything continues to increase and there’s no sign that this trend of price increases will stop anytime soon. As a result, all entities have to develop a financial management system […]
Problems with Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP)
The Silicon Valley Bank crisis has prompted the Federal Reserve to evaluate its emergency funding program. The original emergency funding program i.e. the discount window was obviously not sufficient to provide funding to failing banks such as the Silicon Valley Bank. This is the reason that the bank ended up failing. The Fed felt the […]
Hedge Funds and Regulations
Technically, the term hedge fund does not exist. In fact, the term hedge fund applies to any fund which is sold to accredited private investors and does not have to follow through with the regulation process! Now, investment advisory is a highly regulated industry and there are several laws which have been passed to ensure […]
Cash flows vary from project to project. In some cases cash flows will occur evenly over time. There might be payments of similar amounts that will be spread out over a time period at regular intervals.
On the other hand, there might be payments which are irregular and have no pattern whatsoever. The challenge in corporate finance is to value these different streams of cash flows. Here is how this is done:
The present value of a stream of cash flows can be expressed as a lump sum amount. This can be done only after all the expected future receipts are converted to their present day values. The sum of these values is then equal to the value of the expected stream of cash flows. This is exactly how the value of a future stream of payments is derived.
The calculation of the present value of the future stream of money depends upon the nature of the cash flows. If the cash flows are spread out in an even pattern, shortcuts like annuities and perpetuities can be used and the value of large streams can also be calculated very easily. However, if the cash flows are uneven, individual payments have to be discounted to their present value and then all those payments need to be added up.
Now, there are many investments that go on for a period of 10 years, 15 years and so on. The inflation forecast does not remain the same over such an extended period of time. In fact historically, the inflation will change every time there is a change in the business cycle. Hence, for investments over a long period of time, multiple inflation forecasts may be required where different rates are used in different years.
Moreover, in projects where cash flow goes on for multiple years, the uncertainty also increases with increased time. It is a fundamental rule in corporate finance that the farther the expected payments are, the more uncertain they are. This is because over an extended period there might be political, economic or social changes that might affect the cash flows. Hence different rates may be used to discount the cash flows in different years to get a more accurate picture.
Analysts almost always use multiple discount rates to represent the different uncertainties that cash flows in different years have inherent in them. Moreover, the value of the future cash flows is highly sensitive to discount rates. Hence, small changes in the discount rate can bring about big changes in valuation. This, coupled with the fact that discount rates are very difficult to predict in advance makes investing an art rather than a science.
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